The Fall of Fertility in Tasmania, Australia, in the late 19th and early 20th centuries

Author(s)

  • Helen Moyle

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51964/hlcs9341

Keywords:

Geographic location, Infant mortality, Socioeconomic status, Stopping and spacing behaviours, Historical fertility decline, Theories of fertility decline, Tasmania Australia

Abstract

The paper examines the fall of marital fertility in Tasmania, the second settled Australian colony, in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. The paper investigates when marital fertility fell, whether the fall was mainly due to stopping or spacing behaviours, and why it fell at this time. The database used for the research was created by reconstituting the birth histories of couples marrying in Tasmania in 1860, 1870, 1880 and 1890, using digitised 19th century Tasmanian vital registration data plus many other sources. Despite Tasmania’s location on the other side of the world, the fertility decline had remarkable similarities with the historical fertility decline in continental Western Europe, England and other English-speaking countries. Fertility started to decline in the late 1880s and the fertility decline became well established during the 1890s. The fall in fertility in late 19th century Tasmania was primarily due to the practice of stopping behaviour in the 1880 and 1890 cohorts, although birth spacing was also used as a strategy by the 1890 cohort. The findings provide support for some of the prominent theories of fertility transition.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abbasi-Shavazi, M. J., McDonald, P. & Hosseini-Chavoshi, M. (2009). The Fertility Transition in Iran: Revolution and Reproduction. Dordrecht: Springer.

Alter, G. (1988). Family and the Female Life Course: The Women of Verviers, Belgium, 1849-1880. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

Alter, G. (1992). Theories of fertility decline: A non-specialist’s guide to the current debate. In: J. R. Gillis, L. A. Tilly, & D. Levine (Eds.), The European Experience of Declining Fertility, 1850–1970: The Quiet Revolution (pp.13–27). Cambridge, Mass.: Blackwell.

Alter, G., Neven, M. & Oris, M. (2010). Economic change and differential fertility in rural eastern Belgium, 1812 to 1875. In: N. O. Tsuya et al. (Eds.), Prudence and Pressure. Reproduction and Human Agency in Europe and Asia, 1700-1900 (pp. 195–216). Cambridge, Mass.: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Anderson, M. (1999). No sex please we’re demographers: Nineteenth century fertility decline revisited. In: J. Damousi & K. Ellinghaus (Eds.), Citizenship, Women and Social Justice: International Historic Perspective (pp. 251–264). Melbourne: Dept. of History, University of Melbourne and Australian Network for Research in Women’s History.

Anderson, M. & MacKinnon, A. (2015). Women’s agency in Australia’s first fertility transition: a debate revisited. The History of the Family, 20(1), 9–23. DOI: 10.1080/1081602X.2014.990479

Anderton, D. L. & Bean, L.L. (1985). Birth spacing and fertility limitation: A behavioral analysis of a nineteenth century frontier population. Demography 22(2), 169–183. DOI: 10.2307/2061176

Banks, J. A. (1954). Prosperity and Parenthood: A Study of Family Planning among the Victorian Middle Classes. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul.

Bean, L. L., Mineau, G.P. & Anderton, D. L. (1990). Fertility Change on the American Frontier: Adaptation and Innovation. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Becker, G. S. (1981). A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge Mass.: Harvard University Press.

Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M. & Tamura, R. (1990). Human capital, fertility and economic growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), Part 2, S12–S37. DOI: 10.1086/261723

Bengtsson, T. & Dribe, M. (2014). The historical fertility transition at the micro level: southern Sweden 1815–1939. Demographic Research, 30(17), 493–534. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.17.

Berger, S., Merchant, E. & Puerta, J. M. (2009). Responding to fertility shocks: twins as a window into the demographic transition at the family level. Poster presented at the annual meeting of the Social Science History Association. Long Beach, California.

Bohnert, N., Jastad, L. L., Vechbanyongratana, J. & Walhout, E. (2012). Offspring sex preference in Frontier America. Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 42(4), 519–41. DOI: 10.1162/JINH_a_00303

Borrie, W.D. (1994). The European Peopling of Australia. A Demographic History, 1788–1988. Canberra: The Australian National University.

Boyce, J. (2010). Van Diemen’s Land. Melbourne: Black Inc.

Breschi, M., Mazzoni, S., Esposito, M. & Pozzi, L. (2014). Fertility transition and social stratification in the town of Alghero, Sardinia (1866–1935). Demographic Research 30(28), 823–852. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.28

Breward, I. (1988). Australia: The Most Godless Place Under Heaven? Melbourne: Beacon Hill Press.

Brown, J. C. & Guinnane, T.W. (2002). Fertility transition in a rural Catholic population: Bavaria, 1880–1910. Population Studies 56, 35–50. DOI: 10.1080/00324720213799

Caldwell, J. C. (1999). The delayed western fertility decline: an examination of English-speaking countries. Population and Development Review 25(3), 479–513. DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.1999.00479.x

Carlsson, G. (1966). The decline of fertility: innovation or adjustment process? Population Studies 20, 149–174. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.1966.10406092

Casterline, J.B. (2001). Diffusion processes and fertility transition: introduction. In: J. B. Casterline (Ed.), Diffusion Processes and Fertility Transition. Selected Perspectives (pp. 1–38). Washington. D.C.: National Academy Press.

Cleland, J. (2001). Potatoes and pills: an overview of innovation–diffusion contribution to explanations of fertility decline. In: J. B. Casterline (Ed.), Diffusion Processes and Fertility Transition. Selected Perspectives (pp. 39–65). Washington. D.C.: National Academy Press.

Cleland, J. & Wilson, C. (1987). Demand theories of the fertility transition: An iconoclastic view. Population Studies, 41(1), 5–30. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000142516

Coale, A. J. (1986). The decline of fertility in Europe since the 18th century as a chapter in demographic history. In: A. J. Coale & S. C. Watkins (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe (pp. 1–30). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Coale, A. J. (1973). The demographic transition reconsidered. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP): Proceedings of the International Population Conference 1973, 1, 53–73. Liège: Editions Ordina.

Coghlan, T. A. (1903). The Decline in the Birth-Rate of New South Wales and Other Phenomena of Child-Birth: An Essay in Statistics. Sydney: Government Printer.

Dribe, M. & Scalone, F. (2010). Detecting deliberate fertility control in pre-transitional populations: Evidence from six German villages, 1766–1863. European Journal of Population, 26(4), 411–434. DOI: 10.1007/s10680-010-9208-8

Dribe, M., Hacker, J. D. & Scalone, F. (2014). The impact of socio-economic status on net fertility during the historical fertility decline: a comparative analysis of Canada, Iceland, Sweden, Norway, and the USA. Population Studies, 68(2), 135–149. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2014.889741

Easterlin, R. A. (1975). An economic framework for fertility analysis. Studies in Family Planning, 6(3), 54-63. DOI: 10.2307/1964934

Folbre N. (1983). Of patriarchy born: The political economy of fertility decision. Feminist Studies, 9(2), 261–284. DOI: 10.2307/3177490

Galloway, P. R., Hammel, E. A. & Lee, R. D. (1994). Fertility decline in Prussia, 1875–1910: A pooled cross-section time series analysis. Population Studies 48(1), 135–158. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000147516

Gauvreau, D. & Gossage, P. (2001). Canadian fertility transitions: Quebec and Ontario at the turn of the twentieth century. Journal of Family History 26 (2), 162–188. DOI: 10.1177/036319900102600202

Gray, E., Evans, A., Anderson, J. & Kippen, R. (2010). Using split-population models to examine predictors of the probability and timing of parity progression. European Journal of Population, 26(3), 275–295. DOI: 10.1007/s10680-009-9201-2

Gunn, P. & Kippen, R. (2008). Database of births, deaths and marriages registered in Tasmania, 1838-1899. Household and family formation in nineteenth-century Tasmania, 1838-1899. [Computer file]. Canberra: Australian Data Archive, Australian National University. Retrieved from: https://www.ada.edu.au/historical/01119-b; https://www.ada.edu.au/historical/01119-d; https://www.ada.edu.au/historical/01119-m

Gutmann, M. P. & Alter, G. (1993). Family reconstitution as event-history analysis. In: D. S. Reher & R. Schofield (Eds.), Old and New Methods in Historical Demography (pp. 159–177). Oxford: Clarendon.

Haines, M. R. (1988). The relationship between infant and child mortality and fertility: some historical and contemporary evidence for the United States. In: M. D. Montgomery & B. Cohen (Eds.), From Death to Birth: Mortality Decline and Reproductive Change, (pp. 227–253). Washington D.C.: National Academy Press.

Hacker, J.D. (2003). Rethinking the “early” decline of marital fertility in the United States. Demography, 40(4), 605–620. DOI: 10.1353/dem.2003.0035

Haynes, E.G. (1976). Edward Swarbrack Hall. Medical Scientist and Social Reformer in Colonial Tasmania. Master thesis, University of Tasmania, Hobart.

Henry, L. (1961). Some data on natural fertility. Eugenics Quarterly 9(2), 81–91. DOI: 10.1080/19485565.1961.9987465

Hionidou, V. (1998). The adoption of fertility control on Mykonos, 1879–1959: Stopping, spacing or both? Population Studies 52(1), 67–83. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000150186

Hirschman, C. (1994). Why fertility changes. Annual Review of Sociology 20, 203–233. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.so.20.080194.001223

Jones, E. F. (1971). Fertility decline in Australia and New Zealand 1861-1936. Population Index 37(4), 301–38. DOI: 10.2307/2733841

Kippen, R. (2002). Death in Tasmania. Using Civil Death Registers To Measure Nineteenth-Century Cause-Specific Mortality. PhD thesis, Canberra: Australian National University.

Knodel, J. (1978). European populations in the past: Family-level relations. In: S. Preston (Ed.), The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility, (pp. 21–45) New York: Academic Press.

Knodel, J. (1982). Child mortality and reproductive behaviour in German village populations in the past: a micro-level analysis of replacement effect. Population Studies 36(2), 177–200. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.1982.10409027

Knodel, J. (1987). Starting, stopping, and spacing during the early stages of fertility transition: the experience of German village populations in the 18th and 19th centuries. Demography, 24(2), 143–162. DOI: 10.2307/2061627

Knodel, J. & Van de Walle, E. (1979). Lessons from the past: policy implications of historical fertility studies. Population and Development Review 5(2), 217–245. DOI: 10.2307/1971824

Kolk, M. (2011). Deliberate birth spacing in nineteenth century northern Sweden. European Journal of Population 27(3), 337–359. DOI: 10.1007/s10680-011-9228-z

Lee, R. D., Galloway, P.R. & Hammel, E.G. (1994). Fertility decline in Prussia: Estimating influences on supply, demand, and degree of control. Demography 31(2), 347–373. DOI: 10.2307/2061889

Lesthaeghe, R. J. (1977). The Decline of Belgian Fertility, 1800–1970. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Lesthaeghe, R. & Wilson, C. (1986). Modes of production, secularization, and the pace of fertility decline in Western Europe, 1870–1930. In: A. J. Coale and S. C. Watkins (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe, (pp. 261–292). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Livi-Bacci, M. (1986). Social-group forerunners of fertility control in Europe. In: A. J. Coale and S. C. Watkins (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe, (pp. 182–200). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

McDonald, P. (2000). Gender equity in theories of fertility transition. Population and Development Review 26(3), 427–439. DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2000.00427.x

McDonald, P. (2001). Theory Pertaining to Low Fertility. Paper presented at the IUSSP Seminar on International Perspectives on Low Fertility: Trends, Theories and Policies, Tokyo.

McDonald, P. & Moyle, H. (2016). Women as agents in fertility-decision making: Australia 1870–2015. Paper presented to the Population Association of America Conference, Washington DC. March.

McLaren, A. (1990). A History of Contraception: From Antiquity to the Present Day. Cambridge, MA: Basil Blackwell.

Meikle, B. (2011). Squatters and selectors: The waste wands acts of Tasmania, 1858-68. Tasmanian Historical Studies, 16, 1–24. Retrieved from: http://ecite.utas.edu.au/75410

Mineau, G. P., Smith, K. R. & Bean, L. L. (2002). Historical trends of survival among widows and widowers. Social Science and Medicine 54(2), 245–254. DOI: 10.1016/S0277-9536(01)00024-7

Moyle, H. (2015). The fall of fertility in Tasmania in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy of the Australian National University. Retrieved from: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/16176

Moyle, H. (2016). Tracking couples who leave the study location in historical studies of fertility: an Australian example. Historical Life Course Studies, 3, 32–42. PID: 10622/23526343-2016-0005?locatt=view:master

Notestein, F. W. (1945). Population - the long view. In: T. W. Schultz (Ed.), Food for the World, (pp. 36–57). Chicago: Chicago Press.

Notestein, F.W. (1983). Frank Notestein on population growth and economic development. Population and Development Review 9(2), 345–360. DOI: 10.2307/1973057

Okun, B. (1995). Distinguishing stopping behavior from spacing behavior with indirect methods. Historical Methods 28(2), 85–96. DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1995.9956357

Preston, S. (1978). Introduction. In S. Preston (Ed.), The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility (pp. 1–18). New York: Academic Press.

Quiggin, P. (1988). No Rising Generation: Women and Fertility in Late Nineteenth Century Australia. Australian Family Formation Project, Monograph No. 10, Department of Demography, Australian National University. Canberra: Australian National University.

Reher, D. S. & Sanz-Gimeno, A. (2007). Rethinking historical reproductive change: Insights from longitudinal data for a Spanish town. Population and Development Review 33(4), 703–727. Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/25487619

Reynolds, H. (1969). Men of substance and deservedly good repute - Tasmanian gentry 1856–1875. Australian Journal of Politics and History 15(3), 61–72. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8497.1969.tb00957.x

Reynolds, H. (2012). A History of Tasmania. Melbourne: Cambridge University Press.

Robson, L. & Roe, M. (1997). A Short History of Tasmania. Melbourne: Oxford University Press. New Edition.

Ruzicka L. T. & Caldwell, J. C. (1977). The End of the Demographic Transition in Australia. Australian Family Formation Project, Monograph No. 5, Department of Demography, Australian National University. Canberra: Australian National University.

Sandström, G. & Vikström, L. (2013). Was there any gendered preferences for children during the fertility transition? Results from Germany 1850–1930. Paper presented to the XXVII International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSSP) Conference, Busan, Korea, August. Retrieved from: http://www.diva-portal.org/smash/record.jsf?pid=diva2%3A739348&dswid=-161

Santow, G. (1995). Coitus interruptus and the control of natural fertility. Population Studies 49(1), 19–43. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000148226

Schellekens, J. & Van Poppel, F. (2012). Marital fertility decline in the Netherlands: Child mortality, real wages and unemployment, 1860–1939. Demography 49(3), 965–988. DOI: 10.1007/s13524-012-0112-1

Sharlin, A. (1986). Urban-rural differences in fertility in Europe during the demographic transition. In: A. J. Coale & S. C. Watkins (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe, (pp. 234–260). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Szreter, S. (1996). Fertility, Class and Gender in Britain, 1860–1940. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Tsuya, N., Campbell, C. & Feng, W. (2010). Reproduction: Models and sources. In: N. O. Tsuya, et al. (Eds.), Prudence and Pressure. Reproduction and Human Agency in Europe and Asia, 1700-1900, (pp. 39–64). Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Van Bavel, J. (2004a). Deliberate birth spacing before the fertility transition in Europe: evidence from nineteenth-century Belgium. Population Studies 58(1), 95–107. DOI: 10.1080/0032472032000167706

Van Bavel, J. (2004b). Detecting stopping and spacing behaviour in historical demography: A critical review of methods. Population 59(1), 117–128. DOI: 10.2307/3654930

Van Bavel, J. (2004c). Diffusion effects in the European fertility transition: Historical evidence from within a Belgian town. European Journal of Population 20(1), 63–85. DOI: 10.1007/s10680-004-6856-7

Van Bavel, J. & Kok, J. (2004). Birth spacing in the Netherlands. The effects of family composition, occupation and religion on birth intervals, 1820–1885. European Journal of Population 20(2), 119–140. DOI: 10.1023/B:EUJP.0000033860.39537.e2

Van Bavel, J. & Kok, J. (2005). The role of religion in the Dutch fertility transition: starting, spacing, and stopping in the heart of the Netherlands, 1845–1945. Continuity and Change 20(2), 247–263. DOI: 10.1017/S0268416005005473

Van Bavel, J. & Kok, J. (2010). A mixed effects model of birth spacing for pre-transition populations. Evidence of deliberate fertility control from nineteenth century Netherlands. History of the Family 15(2), 125–138. DOI: 10.1016/j.hisfam.2009.12.004

Van de Kaa, D. J. (1996). Anchored narratives: the story and findings of half a century of research into the determinants of fertility. Population Studies 50(3), 389–432. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000149546

Van de Walle, F. (1986). Infant mortality and the European demographic transition. In: A. J. Coale & S. C. Watkins (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe, (pp. 201–233). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Van Leeuwen, M. & Maas, I. (2005). A short note on HISCLASS, History of Work Information System. Retrieved from: http://historyofwork.iisg.nl/index.php

Van Poppel, F. & Derosas, R. (2006). Introduction. In: R. Derosas & F. Van Poppel (Eds.), Religion and the Decline of Fertility in the Western World (pp. 1–19). Dordrecht: Springer.

Van Poppel, F., Reher, D. S., Sanz-Gimeno, A., Sanchez-Dominguez, M. & Beekink, E. (2012). Mortality decline and reproductive change during the Dutch demographic transition: revisiting a traditional debate with new data. Demographic Research 27(11), 299–338. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.27.11

Vézina, H., Gauvreau, D. & Gagnon, A. (2014). Socioeconomic fertility differentials in a late transition setting: A micro-level analysis of the Saguenay region in Quebec. Demographic Research 30(38), 1097–1128. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.38.

Woods, R. I. (1987). Approaches to the fertility transition in Victorian England. Population Studies 41(2), 283–311. DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000142806

Wrigley, E. A., Davies, R. S., Oeppen, J. E. & Schofield, R.S. (1997). English Population History from Family Reconstitution: 1580–1837. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Downloads

Published

2017-06-27

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Moyle, H. (2017). The Fall of Fertility in Tasmania, Australia, in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. Historical Life Course Studies, 4, 120-144. https://doi.org/10.51964/hlcs9341